What We Know About Trump’s Legal Troubles

PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES Despite a near-constant swirl of legal problems, former President Donald Trump has managed to avoid indictment so far. But one prosecutor seems poised to take the plunge and become the first to criminally indict a former president. Alvin Bragg, the Manhattan district attorney, is reportedly close to […]

Continue Reading
SlackChat 0313

What Happens If Trump Is Indicted?

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst):On Saturday, former President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social (a social media site he created when he was kicked off Twitter and Facebook) that “the far & away leading Republican candidate & former president of the United […]

Continue Reading
AP559321283791 16x9 1

States Are Cracking Down On Militias — Except For Idaho

Alex Milan Tracy / Sipa via AP Images In a bucolic corner of southwestern Vermont, locals have been disturbed for years by a neighbor’s weekend hobby: running a paramilitary training camp in the woods near West Pawlet. As complaints about the facility’s activities rose, many wondered why law enforcement wasn’t cracking down on the gun […]

Continue Reading
GettyImages 1880726 16x9 1

20 Years After The Invasion Of Iraq, Americans Still Want

The U.S. invaded Iraq on March 20, 2003, beginning a war that most Americans now think was a mistake. Mario Tama / Getty Images The two likely rivals for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024 both openly oppose interventionist policies in Ukraine, like providing the country with further assistance in its war against Russia. Florida […]

Continue Reading
0315 POLLA 16x9 1

It’s Not Just Silicon Valley Bank — Americans Haven’t Trusted

PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. When Silicon Valley Bank collapsed last week, it caused the stock market to begin a five-day drop. The stocks for regional banks, in particular, dropped significantly, even as federal regulators worked to mitigate the fallout. Investors have clearly been spooked by […]

Continue Reading
GettyImages 12306429801 16x9 1

How Did State Supreme Court Races Get So Expensive?

A race for Wisconsin’s Supreme Court has drawn millions of dollars in donations. KAMIL KRZACZYNSKI / AFP via Getty Images It feels like November in Wisconsin — and not just because of the weather. TV watchers in the Badger State are again being badgered by political ads. Of course, there’s no presidential, Senate or House […]

Continue Reading
GettyImages 1246538096 16x9 1

Ron DeSantis Is Doubling Down On His Education Crusade

Daniel A. Varela / Miami Herald / Tribune News Service via Getty Images Florida’s legislative session may have just gotten underway, but lawmakers there already have plenty to do. That’s, in part, because Republicans there have presented a flurry of bills that would transform K-12 and higher education in the state — from forcing state […]

Continue Reading
SlackChat 0313 16x9 1

What Does the Silicon Valley Bank Collapse Mean For The

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. (Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, senior reporter): On Friday, financial regulators announced that they were taking control of Silicon Valley Bank, signaling the largest bank collapse since the global financial crisis of 2008. California regulators closed the bank and put the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation […]

Continue Reading